Publications

Peer-reviewed research on redistricting, the Electoral College, and representation, published across political science, law, economics, and geography journals. My contributions in joint papers are typically the data construction, statistical and geographic analysis, and modeling.

Peer-Reviewed Articles & Chapters

• Partisan Gerrymandering
  Bernard Grofman and Jonathan R. Cervas. Elgar Encyclopedia of Public Choice (book chapter), 2025.
• Partisan Gerrymandering Cases in State Supreme Courts in the 2020s Redistricting Round
  Jonathan R. Cervas, Bernard Grofman, Scott Matsuda, and Justine Kawa. Albany Law Review 87, no. 4, 2024.
• Statistical Fallacies in Claims about “Massive and Widespread Fraud” in the 2020 Presidential Election
  Bernard Grofman and Jonathan R. Cervas. Statistics and Public Policy 11, no. 1, 2023.
• The Role of State Courts in Constraining Partisan Gerrymandering in Congressional Elections
  Jonathan R. Cervas, Bernard Grofman, and Scott Matsuda. University of New Hampshire Law Review 21, no. 2, 2023.
• Using Folded Seats-Votes Curves to Compare Partisan Bias in the 2020 Presidential Election with Other 21st Century Elections
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Presidential Studies Quarterly, 2022.
• Why Donald Trump Should Be a Fervent Advocate of Using Ranked-Choice Voting in 2024
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. PS: Political Science & Politics 55, no. 1, 2022.
• Turning Communities of Interest into a Rigorous Standard for Fair Districting
  Sandra J. Chen, Samuel S.-H. Wang, Bernard Grofman, Richard F. Ober, Kyle T. Barnes, and Jonathan R. Cervas. Stanford Journal of Civil Rights & Civil Liberties 18, 2022.
• A Systems Framework for Remedying Dysfunction in U.S. Democracy
  Samuel S.-H. Wang, Jonathan R. Cervas, Bernard Grofman, and Keena Lipsitz. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118, no. 50, 2021.
• The Unanticipated Effect of COVID-19 on House Apportionments
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Social Science Quarterly 102, no. 5, 2021.
• ZIP Codes as Geographic Bases of Representation
  Bernard Grofman and Jonathan R. Cervas. Election Law Journal, 2021.
• Legal, Political Science, and Economics Approaches to Measuring Malapportionment
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Social Science Quarterly 101, no. 6, 2020.
• Tools for Identifying Partisan Gerrymandering with an Application to Congressional Districting in Pennsylvania
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Political Geography 76, 2020.
• Are Presidential Inversions Inevitable? Comparing Eight Counterfactual Rules for Electing the U.S. President
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Social Science Quarterly 100, no. 4, 2019.
• Can State Courts Cure Partisan Gerrymandering? Lessons from League of Women Voters v. Pennsylvania
  Bernard Grofman and Jonathan R. Cervas. Election Law Journal 17, no. 4, 2018.
• Why Noncompetitive States Are So Important for Understanding the Outcome of Presidential Elections
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Public Choice 173, no. 3–4, 2017.

Op-Eds & Public Commentary

• The Effects of Mid-Decade Redistricting on Electoral Outcomes
  Jonathan R. Cervas. Medium, 2025.
• Trump the Wrestler and the 2024 Grudge Match
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Medium, 2024.
• Fracking: A Contiguity-Related Redistricting Metric
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Election Law Blog, 2021.
• The GOP Scared Latinos from the Census. Now That May Cost the Party Red Seats
  Samuel S.-H. Wang and Jonathan R. Cervas. The Washington Post, 2021.
• A More Equitable Voting System in Maine: Ranked-Choice Voting
  Jonathan R. Cervas, Anjali Akula, and Elsie Goren. Medium (3Streams), 2021.
• How Likely Is Trump to Lose the Popular Vote but Win the Electoral College?
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. Medium (3Streams), 2020.
• These Are the Political Consequences of Excluding Undocumented Immigrants from Apportionment
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Angela Ocampo. Medium (3Streams), 2020.
• Pennsylvania Has to Draw New Congressional Districts, but Getting Rid of Gerrymandering Will Be Harder Than You Think
  Jonathan R. Cervas and Bernard Grofman. The Washington Post, 2018.